The Tories are predicted to gain four North Wales seats in the General Election, if the latest polling data is to be believed.
The YouGov poll, based on a survey of 100,000 voters across the UK, suggests the Conservatives could secure 359 – a 68 seat majority in Parliament – if the election was held tomorrow.
At the last election North Wales sent six Labour, two Plaid Cymru and two Conservative MP’s to Westminster.
Labour are predicted to return 211 MP’s, which would represent a loss of 44 seats compared to their 2017 result .
Plaid Cymru are predicted to return four seats.
The current Labour seats tipped to turn blue in North Wales are Wrexham, Clwyd South, Vale of Clwyd and Ynys Môn. Alyn and Deeside and Delyn are also said to be on a knife edge.
The YouGov forecast said: “It is possible Labour could lose all of their north Wales seats, with the six they hold in this region looking like tight contests with the Conservatives."
“The Tories currently have a four point lead in Wrexham.
The results of the YouGov #GE2019 MRP model are finally here:
— YouGov (@YouGov) November 27, 2019
Con – 359 seats / 43% vote share
Lab – 211 / 32%
SNP – 43 / 3%
LD – 13 / 14%
Plaid – 4 / <1%
Green – 1 / 3%
Brexit Party – 0 / 3%
Conservative majority of 68https://t.co/uvnl8LNj7f pic.twitter.com/Iul6HDtaP3
“Four other North Wales Labour seats – Vale of Clwyd, Delyn, Alyn and Deeside, and Clwyd South – could also move into the Conservative column, with the situation across these constituencies currently ranging from a 2 point Tory lead, to both parties being tied.
“In Ynys Mon, there is a three-way battle between Labour, Conservatives and Plaid Cymru, with the Tories currently seven points ahead.”
Plaid is forecast to miss out on its main target seat of Ynys Môn, but it is on course to hold on to Dwyfor Meirionnydd and, crucially, Arfon which it only retained in 2017 on a wafer thin majority of 92.
Chris Curtis, YouGov’s political research manager, added: “Labour are set for losses in Wales but remain the dominant party in the country, keeping hold of all their south Wales seats.
“The picture is less positive for the party in north Wales where they are currently losing four of the six seats they hold in the region to the Conservatives."
He added: “The Liberal Democrats’ by-election success in Brecon and Radnorshire looks to be short-lived with the Conservatives set to win it straight back.”
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